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1.
Eur J Radiol ; 173: 111385, 2024 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38377895

RESUMO

PURPOSE: To assess the predictive value of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and three bleeding risk scoring systems for esophagogastric varices bleeding (EGVB) in patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis during hospitalization. METHODS: In this study, 210 patients who had hepatitis B cirrhosis were selected as the subjects. They were categorized into two groups based on whether EGVB occurred during hospitalization: a bleeding group (70 cases) and a non-bleeding group (140 cases). Logistic regression was used to analyze the factors related to the occurrence of EGVB, and the diagnostic performance was evaluated using a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. RESULTS: Significant differences were observed between the two groups in systolic blood pressure, platelet count, albumin, urea nitrogen, LSM, pre-endoscopic Rockall score (PRS), Glasgow-Blatchford score (GBS), and AIMS65 score (P < 0.05). The correlation analysis showed that LSM had significant positive relationship with PRS, GBS and AIMS65 score. Logistic regression analysis revealed that LSM and GBS score were independent risk factors for EGVB occurrence during hospitalization. ROC curve analysis showed that the combined prediction model of LSM and GBS score had the best prediction performance for EGVB occurrence, with an ROC curve area of 0.811, which was significantly better than the three risk scoring systems (P < 0.05), but similar to the predicted value of LSM (P = 0.335). CONCLUSIONS: The combination of LSM and GBS score can significantly improve the predictive efficacy of EGVB occurrence in patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis during hospitalization, which has important clinical significance for patients' prognosis.


Assuntos
Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas , Hepatite B , Varizes , Humanos , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/diagnóstico por imagem , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/epidemiologia , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/complicações , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/diagnóstico por imagem , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/etiologia , Medição de Risco , Cirrose Hepática/complicações , Cirrose Hepática/diagnóstico por imagem , Prognóstico , Fatores de Risco , Curva ROC , Varizes/complicações , Índice de Gravidade de Doença
2.
BMJ Open ; 14(2): e074608, 2024 Feb 29.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38423766

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to assess the internal law and time trend of hospitalisation for oesophagogastric variceal bleeding (EGVB) in cirrhosis and develop an effective model to predict the trend of hospitalisation time. DESIGN: We used a time series covering 72 months to analyse the hospitalisation for EGVB in cirrhosis. The number of inpatients in the first 60 months was used as the training set to establish the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, and the number over the next 12 months was used as the test set to predict and observe their fitting effect. SETTING AND DATA: Case data of patients with EGVB between January 2014 and December 2019 were collected from the Affiliated Hospital of Southwest Medical University. OUTCOME MEASURES: The number of monthly hospitalised patients with EGVB in our hospital. RESULTS: A total of 877 patients were included in the analysis. The proportion of EGVB in patients with cirrhosis was 73% among men and 27% among women. The peak age at hospitalisation was 40-60 years. The incidence of EGVB varied seasonally with two peaks from January to February and October to November, while the lowest number was observed between April and August. Time-series analysis showed that the number of inpatients with EGVB in our hospital increased annually. The sequence after the first-order difference was a stationary series (augmented Dickey-Fuller test p=0.02). ARIMA (0,1,0) (0,1,1)12 with a minimum Akaike Information Criterion value of 260.18 could fit the time trend of EGVB inpatients and had a good short-term prediction effect. The root mean square error and mean absolute error were 2.4347 and 1.9017, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The number of hospitalised patients with EGVB at our hospital is increasing annually, with seasonal changes. The ARIMA model has a good prediction effect on the number of hospitalised patients with EGVB in cirrhosis.


Assuntos
Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas , Pacientes Internados , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/epidemiologia , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/terapia , Universidades , Previsões , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/epidemiologia , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/etiologia , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/terapia , Hospitalização , Cirrose Hepática/complicações , Cirrose Hepática/terapia , Hospitais , Incidência , Modelos Estatísticos , China/epidemiologia
3.
BMJ Open Gastroenterol ; 10(1)2023 11 29.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38030407

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Cirrhosis describes the end-stage of chronic liver disease. Irreversible changes in the liver cause portal hypertension, which can progress to serious complications and death. Only a few studies with small sample sizes have investigated the prognosis of cirrhosis with portal hypertension. We used electronic healthcare records to examine liver-related outcomes in patients with diagnosed/suspected portal hypertension. DESIGN: This retrospective observational cohort study used secondary health data between 1 January 2017 and 3 December 2020 from the TriNetX Network, a federated electronic healthcare records platform. Three patient groups with cirrhosis and diagnosed/suspected portal hypertension were identified ('most severe', 'moderate severity' and 'least severe'). Outcomes studied individually and as a composite were variceal haemorrhage, hepatic encephalopathy, complications of ascites and recorded mortality up to 24 months. RESULTS: There were 13 444, 23 299, and 23 836 patients in the most severe, moderate severity and least severe groups, respectively. Mean age was similar across groups; most participants were white. The most common individual outcomes at 24 months were variceal haemorrhage in the most severe group, recorded mortality and hepatic encephalopathy in the moderate severity group, and recorded mortality in the least severe group. Recorded mortality rate was similar across groups. For the composite outcome, cumulative incidence was 59% in the most severe group at 6 months. Alcohol-associated liver disease and metabolic-associated steatohepatitis were significantly associated with the composite outcome across groups. CONCLUSION: Our analysis of a large dataset from electronic healthcare records illustrates the poor prognosis of patients with diagnosed/suspected portal hypertension.


Assuntos
Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas , Encefalopatia Hepática , Hipertensão Portal , Humanos , Encefalopatia Hepática/complicações , Encefalopatia Hepática/epidemiologia , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/complicações , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/epidemiologia , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/etiologia , Cirrose Hepática/complicações , Cirrose Hepática/epidemiologia , Hipertensão Portal/complicações , Hipertensão Portal/epidemiologia , Prognóstico
4.
United European Gastroenterol J ; 11(10): 985-997, 2023 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38018771

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: We studied the impact of Portal hypertension (PHT) on ascites occurrence and on radiotherapy outcome in cirrhotic patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHOD: All cirrhotic patients that received radiotherapy for HCC between 2012 and 2022 were included. Portal hypertension-Score was built using univariate analysis with the presence of esophageal varices (EV), platelet count, history of acute variceal bleeding (AVB) and spleen size. Time-to-events data were estimated using Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank and Cox-models. RESULTS: 60 patients were included (female 27%, age 67 years-old, Child-Pugh A 82%, alcoholic/non-alcoholic steatohepatitis/hepatitis C virus 55/40/32%). 38% and 15% presented history of ascites and AVB respectively, 25% had large EV, 53.5% presented PHT score ≥ 5. 92% were BCLC-0/A, median tumor size was 30 mm. At 6 months, ascites incidence was 19% and precluded access to further HCC treatment for all patients with HCC recurrence. All PHT parameters included in the score and PHT score ≥ 5 (hazard ratio (HR) = 14.07, p = 0.01) were associated with ascites occurrence. Transplantation free survival and recurrence free survival at 1 year were 56% and 47% respectively. Albi grade 3 (HR = 3.01; p = 0.04) was independently associated with Transplantation free survival. CONCLUSION: Radiotherapy should be cautiously performed in patients with PHT score ≥ 5 because of ascites occurrence risk precluding access to further HCC treatments.


Assuntos
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas , Hipertensão Portal , Hipertensão , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Humanos , Feminino , Idoso , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/complicações , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/epidemiologia , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/radioterapia , Neoplasias Hepáticas/complicações , Neoplasias Hepáticas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Hepáticas/radioterapia , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/diagnóstico , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/epidemiologia , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/etiologia , Ascite/etiologia , Ascite/complicações , Resultado do Tratamento , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/complicações , Hipertensão Portal/etiologia , Cirrose Hepática/complicações , Hipertensão/complicações
5.
BMC Gastroenterol ; 23(1): 236, 2023 Jul 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37438707

RESUMO

BACKGROUND & AIMS: During the COVID-19 pandemic, most of the endoscopic services were electively postponed or suspended. We aimed to assess the safety of a triage policy in patients receiving esophageal variceal ligation during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: Triage policy of endoscopic variceal ligation (EVL) was implemented in our hospital during the lockdown period from 15th May 2021 to 26th July 2021. One experienced gastroenterologist reviewed the prior-scheduled list of patients for the EVL prophylaxisprogram. We compared the clinical characteristics and outcomes with those receiving endoscopy due to esophageal varices from 17th May 2020 to 28th July 2020. RESULTS: Of the 124 patients receiving EVL, a higher percentage of esophageal variceal bleeding (EVB) was noted (9/32, 28.1% vs. 8/92, 8.7%, p = 0.006) during the lockdown period, with a higher percentage of EVB in the referrals (7/9, 77.8% vs. 2/14, 14.2%, p = 0.007). Among patients who received prophylactic EVL, 6 of 78 (7.7%) experienced EVB during the normal period, which is no different to 2 of 23 (8.7%) during the lockdown period. Twenty-three patients whose endoscopies were postponed by triage policy due to low-risk or eradicated varices did not experience EVB during the lockdown period. Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) class C was predictive of EVB (relative risk 8.400, P = 0.033), entering the program of prophylactic EVL was the protective factor of EVB (relative risk 0.016, P = 0.002). CONCLUSION: Entrance into the prophylaxis program does not only decreases risk of EVB but also fosters comprehensive triage to postpone endoscopy during the lockdown period.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas , Varizes , Humanos , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/epidemiologia , Pandemias/prevenção & controle , Triagem , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/epidemiologia , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/etiologia , Endoscopia Gastrointestinal/efeitos adversos , Fatores de Proteção , Políticas
6.
JAMA Netw Open ; 6(7): e2324539, 2023 07 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37471085

RESUMO

Importance: Patients with decompensated cirrhosis are hospitalized for acute management with temporizing and lifesaving procedures. Published data to inform intervention development in this area are more than a decade old, and it is not clear whether there have been improvements in disparities in the receipt of these procedures over time. Objective: To evaluate the associations of race and ethnicity with receipt of procedures to treat decompensated cirrhosis over time in the US. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cross-sectional study analyzed National Inpatient Sample data on cirrhosis admissions among patients with portal hypertension-related complications from 2009 to 2018. All hospital discharges for individuals aged 18 years and older from 2009 to 2018 were assessed for inclusion. Admissions were included if they contained at least 1 cirrhosis-related International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) or International Statistical Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) code and at least 1 cirrhosis-related complication ICD-9-CM or ICD-10-CM code (ie, ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, variceal hemorrhage [VH], and hepatorenal syndrome [HRS]). Data were analyzed from January to June 2022. Exposure: Hospitalization for decompensated cirrhosis. Main Outcomes and Measures: The outcomes of interest were trends in the odds ratios (ORs) for receiving procedures (upper endoscopy, transjugular portosystemic shunt [TIPS], hemodialysis, and liver transplantation [LT]) for decompensated cirrhosis and mortality by race and ethnicity, modeled over time. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess these outcomes. Results: Among 717 580 admissions (median [IQR] age, 58 [52-67] years), 345 644 patients (9.8%) were Black, 623 991 patients (17.6%) were Hispanic, and 2 340 031 patients (47.4%) were White. Based on the modeled trends, by 2018, there were no significant differences by race or ethnicity in the odds of receiving upper endoscopy for VH. However, Black patients remained less likely than White patients to undergo TIPS for VH (OR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.47-0.62) and ascites (OR, 0.34; 95% CI, 0.31-0.38). The disparity in receipt of LT improved for Black and Hispanic patients over the study period; however, by 2018, both groups remained less likely to undergo LT than their White counterparts (Black: OR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.61-0.70; Hispanic: OR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.70-0.78). The odds of death in Black and Hispanic patients declined over the study period but remained higher in Black patients than White patients in 2018 (OR, 1.08; 95% CI, 1.05-1.11). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cross-sectional study of individuals hospitalized with decompensated cirrhosis, there were racial and ethnic disparities in receipt of complex lifesaving procedures and in mortality that persisted over time.


Assuntos
Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/epidemiologia , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/cirurgia , Ascite , Estudos Transversais , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/epidemiologia , Cirrose Hepática/epidemiologia , Brancos
7.
Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol ; 21(13): 3336-3345.e2, 2023 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37192714

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Secondary prevention of esophageal variceal bleeding is important to improve prognosis, but uptake of guidelines is unknown in a real-world setting. Here, we determined the proportion of patients receiving appropriate nonselective beta-blocker treatment and repeat upper endoscopy after a first episode of esophageal variceal bleeding within a reasonable time frame. METHODS: Population-based registers were used to identify all patients with a first episode of esophageal variceal bleeding in Sweden from 2006 to 2020. Crosslinkage between registers was performed to receive information on the cumulative incidence of patients with a dispensation of nonselective beta-blockers and repeat upper endoscopy within 120 days from baseline. Overall mortality was investigated using Cox regression. RESULTS: In total, 3592 patients were identified, with a median age of 63 (interquartile range, 54-71) years. The cumulative incidence of a dispensation of nonselective beta-blockers and a repeat endoscopy within 120 days was 33%. A total of 77% received either of these treatments. Overall mortality was high, with 65% of patients dying after esophageal variceal bleeding during the full follow-up period (median 1.7 years). We observed an improved overall mortality during the later years of the study period (adjusted hazard ratio for the 2016-2020 period compared with the 2006-2010 period, 0.80; 95% confidence interval, 0.71-0.89). Patients with receipt of nonselective beta-blockers and repeat upper endoscopy had better overall survival compared with those without (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.80; 95% confidence interval, 0.72-0.90). CONCLUSIONS: Secondary prevention of esophageal variceal bleeding has not been widely undertaken, with many patients not receiving guideline-supported interventions within a reasonable time frame. This highlights a need to raise awareness on appropriate prevention strategies to clinicians and patients.


Assuntos
Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/epidemiologia , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/prevenção & controle , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/etiologia , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/epidemiologia , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/complicações , Prevenção Secundária , Estudos de Coortes , Endoscopia Gastrointestinal/efeitos adversos , Antagonistas Adrenérgicos beta/uso terapêutico , Cirrose Hepática/complicações , Ligadura/efeitos adversos
8.
Thromb Haemost ; 123(7): 714-722, 2023 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36913976

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to identify the role of factor VIII (FVIII) in portal vein thrombosis (PVT) occurrence in cirrhotic patients with gastroesophageal variceal bleeding. METHODS: A total of 453 cirrhotic patients with gastroesophageal varices were enrolled. Computed tomography was performed at baseline and patients were divided into PVT and non-PVT groups (n = 131 vs. 322). Individuals without PVT at baseline were followed up for the development of PVT. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic analysis of FVIII for PVT development was performed. The Kaplan-Meier methodology was used to analyze the predictive ability of FVIII for PVT incidence at 1 year. RESULTS: FVIII activity (177.00 vs. 153.70, p = 0.001) was significantly increased in the PVT group compared with the non-PVT group in cirrhotic patients with gastroesophageal varices. FVIII activity was positively correlated with the severity of PVT (161.50 vs. 171.07 vs. 187.05%, p = 0.001). Furthermore, FVIII activity (hazard ratio [HR]: 3.48, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.14-10.68, p = 0.029 in model 1; HR: 3.29, 95% CI: 1.03-10.51, p = 0.045 in model 2) was an independent risk factor of 1-year PVT development in patients without PVT at baseline, which was confirmed by two separate Cox regression analysis and competing risk models. Patients with elevated FVIII activity exhibit a higher incidence of PVT in the non-PVT group at 1 year (15.17 vs. 3.16%, p < 0.001). The predictive value of FVIII remains significant in individuals who have never received splenectomy (14.76 vs. 3.04%, p = 0.002). CONCLUSION: Elevated FVIII activity was potentially associated with the occurrence and the severity of PVT. It might be helpful to identify cirrhotic patients at risk of PVT.


Assuntos
Transtornos da Coagulação Sanguínea , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas , Varizes , Trombose Venosa , Humanos , Veia Porta/diagnóstico por imagem , Veia Porta/patologia , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/epidemiologia , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/etiologia , Fator VIII , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/epidemiologia , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/etiologia , Cirrose Hepática/complicações , Cirrose Hepática/patologia , Fatores de Risco , Varizes/complicações , Trombose Venosa/complicações , Transtornos da Coagulação Sanguínea/complicações
9.
Eur J Intern Med ; 112: 77-85, 2023 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36990875

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Spontaneous portosystemic shunt (SPSS) other than esophago-gastric varices is one of the consequences of cirrhosis-induced portal hypertension (PHT), but its role is not fully understood. Therefore, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine the prevalence and clinical characteristics of SPSS (excluding esophago-gastric varices) and its impact on mortality in patients with cirrhosis. METHODS: Eligible studies were identified from MedLine, PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library between Jan 1, 1980 and Sep 30, 2022. Outcome indicators were SPSS prevalence, liver function, decompensated events, and overall survival (OS). RESULTS: Totally, 2015 studies were reviewed, of which 19 studies recruiting 6884 patients were included. On pooled analysis, the prevalence of SPSS was 34.2% (26.6%∼42.1%). SPSS patients had significantly higher Child-Pugh scores and grades and Model for End-stage Liver Disease scores (all P<0.05). Moreover, SPSS patients experienced a higher incidence of decompensated events, including hepatic encephalopathy, portal vein thrombosis, and hepatorenal syndrome (all P<0.05). Additionally, SPSS patients had significantly shorter OS than the non-SPSS group (P<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with cirrhosis, SPSS outside the esophago-gastric region is common, characterized by severe impairment of liver function, high rates of decompensated events, including HE, PVT, and hepatorenal syndrome, as well as a high mortality rate.


Assuntos
Doença Hepática Terminal , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas , Síndrome Hepatorrenal , Derivação Portossistêmica Transjugular Intra-Hepática , Humanos , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/epidemiologia , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/etiologia , Prevalência , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Cirrose Hepática
10.
PeerJ ; 11: e15014, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36992940

RESUMO

Background: We aimed to evaluate the prediction values of non-invasive models for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in patients with HBV-related liver cirrhosis (LC) and long-term NA treatment. Methods: Patients with compensated or decompensated cirrhosis (DC), who achieved long-term virological response, were enrolled. DC and its stages were defined by the complications including ascites, encephalopathy, variceal bleeding, or renal failure. Prediction accuracy of several risk scores, including ALBI, CAMD, PAGE-B, mPAGE-B and aMAP, was compared. Results: The median follow-up duration was 37 (28-66) months. Among the 229 patients, 9 (9.57%) patients in the compensated LC group and 39 (28.89%) patients in the DC group developed HCC. The incidence of HCC was higher in the DC group ( X 2 = 12.478, P < 0.01). The AUROC of ALBI, aMAP, CAMD, PAGE-B and mPAGE-B scores were 0.512, 0.667, 0.638, 0.663, 0.679, respectively. There was no significant difference in AUROC between CAMD, aMAP, PAGE-B and mPAGE-B (all P > 0.05). Univariable analysis showed that age, DC status and platelet were associated with HCC development, and multivariable analysis showed that age and DC status (both P < 0.01) were independent risk factors for HCC development, then Model (Age_DC) was developed and its AUROC was 0.718. Another model, Model (Age_DC_PLT_TBil) consisting of age, DC stage, PLT, TBil was also developed, and its AUROC was larger than that of Model (Age_DC) (0.760 vs. 0.718). Moreover, AUROC of Model (Age_DC_PLT_TBil) was larger than the other five models (all P < 0.05). With an optimal cut-off value of 0.236, Model (Age_DC_PLT_TBil) achieved 70.83% sensitivity, 76.24% specificity. Conclusion: There is a lack of non-invasive risk scores for HCC development in HBV-related DC, and a new model consisting of age, DC stage, PLT, TBil may be an alternative.


Assuntos
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Humanos , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/epidemiologia , Estudos Prospectivos , Vírus da Hepatite B , Neoplasias Hepáticas/epidemiologia , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/epidemiologia , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/complicações , Cirrose Hepática/complicações
11.
Diagn Pathol ; 18(1): 29, 2023 Feb 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36823660

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Liver cirrhosis patients are at risk for esophagogastric variceal bleeding (EGVB). Herein, we aimed to estimate the EGVB risk in patients with liver cirrhosis using an artificial neural network (ANN). METHODS: We included 999 liver cirrhosis patients hospitalized at the Beijing Ditan Hospital, Capital Medical University in the training cohort and 101 patients from Shuguang Hospital in the validation cohort. The factors independently affecting EGVB occurrence were determined via univariate analysis and used to develop an ANN model. RESULTS: The 1-year cumulative EGVB incidence rates were 11.9 and 11.9% in the training and validation groups, respectively. A total of 12 independent risk factors, including gender, drinking and smoking history, decompensation, ascites, location and size of varices, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), γ-glutamyl transferase (GGT), hematocrit (HCT) and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) levels as well as red blood cell (RBC) count were evaluated and used to establish the ANN model, which estimated the 1-year EGVB risk. The ANN model had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.959, which was significantly higher than the AUC for the North Italian Endoscopic Club (NIEC) (0.669) and revised North Italian Endoscopic Club (Rev-NIEC) indices (0.725) (all P <  0.001). Decision curve analyses revealed improved net benefits of the ANN compared to the NIEC and Rev-NIEC indices. CONCLUSIONS: The ANN model accurately predicted the 1-year risk for EGVB in liver cirrhosis patients and might be used as a basis for risk-based EGVB surveillance strategies.


Assuntos
Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas , Varizes , Humanos , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/diagnóstico , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/epidemiologia , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/complicações , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/diagnóstico , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/epidemiologia , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/etiologia , Cirrose Hepática/complicações , Cirrose Hepática/diagnóstico , Cirrose Hepática/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Varizes/complicações , Aprendizado de Máquina
12.
Viruses ; 15(1)2023 01 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36680293

RESUMO

The real-world benefits of direct-acting antiviral (DAA)-induced sustained virologic response (SVR) on the de novo occurrence and progression of esophageal varices (EV) remain unclear in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related liver cirrhosis (LC). This is a retrospective cohort study evaluating all patients with Child-Pugh class A HCV-related LC during 2013 to 2020 in the Chang Gung Medical System. A total of 215 patients fit the inclusion criteria and were enrolled. Of them, 132 (61.4%) patients achieved DAA induced-SVR and 83 (38.6%) did not receive anti-viral treatment. During a median follow-up of 18.4 (interquartile range, 10.1−30.9) months, the 2-year incidence of de novo EV occurrence was 8 (7.0%) in the SVR group and 7 (12.7%) in the treatment-naïve group. Compared to the treatment-naïve group, the SVR group was associated with a significantly lower incidence of EV occurrence (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 0.47, p = 0.030) and a significantly lower incidence of EV progression (aHR: 0.55, p = 0.033). The risk of EV progression was strongly correlated with the presence of baseline EV (p < 0.001). To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to demonstrate that DAA-induced SVR is associated with decreased risk of de novo EV occurrence and progression in the real world.


Assuntos
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas , Hepatite C Crônica , Hepatite C , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Humanos , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Hepacivirus , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/epidemiologia , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/etiologia , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/prevenção & controle , Estudos Retrospectivos , Hepatite C Crônica/complicações , Hepatite C Crônica/tratamento farmacológico , Hepatite C/complicações , Hepatite C/tratamento farmacológico , Hepatite C/epidemiologia , Cirrose Hepática/complicações , Cirrose Hepática/tratamento farmacológico
13.
Tunis Med ; 101(8-9): 684-687, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38445402

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Esophageal varices (EV) are a common manifestation of portal hypertension in cirrhotic patients. Upper gastrointestinal endoscopy (UGE) is the gold standard for diagnosing EV. However, it is an invasive examination with a relatively high cost. AIM: To develop a machine learning model for the prediction of EV in cirrhotic patients. METHODS: This is a cross-sectional observational study including all cirrhotic patients, for whom an UGE was performed, between January 2010 and December 2019. We adopted a structured methodical approach with reference to CRISP-DM (Cross-Industry Standard Process for Data Mining). The different steps carried out were: data collection and preparation, modelization, and deployment of the predictive models in a web application. RESULTS: We included 166 patients, 92 women (55.4%) and 74 men (44.6%). The mean age was 57.2 years. In UGE, 16 patients (9.6%) did not have EV. Other patients had EV grade 1 in 41 cases (24.7%), grade 2 in 81 cases (24.7%) and grade 3 in 28 cases (16.9%). After the selection phase, among the 36 initial variables, 19 were retained. Three machine learning models have been developed with a performance of 90%. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a machine learning model combining several clinical and para-clinical variables for the prediction of EV in cirrhotic patients.


Assuntos
Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/diagnóstico , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/epidemiologia , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/etiologia , Estudos Transversais , Cirrose Hepática/complicações , Cirrose Hepática/diagnóstico , Aprendizado de Máquina , Software
14.
World J Gastroenterol ; 29(47): 6095-6110, 2023 Dec 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38186684

RESUMO

The etiology of upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) varies by age, from newborns to adolescents, with some of the causes overlapping between age groups. While particular causes such as vitamin K deficiency and cow's milk protein allergy are limited to specific age groups, occurring only in neonates and infants, others such as erosive esophagitis and gastritis may be identified at all ages. Furthermore, the incidence of UGIB is variable throughout the world and in different hospital settings. In North America and Europe, most UGIBs are non-variceal, associated with erosive esophagitis, gastritis, and gastric and duodenal ulcers. In recent years, the most common causes in some Middle Eastern and Far Eastern countries are becoming similar to those in Western countries. However, variceal bleeding still predominates in certain parts of the world, especially in South Asia. The most severe hemorrhage arises from variceal bleeding, peptic ulceration, and disseminated intravascular coagulation. Hematemesis is a credible indicator of a UGI source of bleeding in the majority of patients. Being familiar with the most likely UGIB causes in specific ages and geographic areas is especially important for adequate orientation in clinical settings, the use of proper diagnostic tests, and rapid initiation of the therapy. The fundamental approach to the management of UGIB includes an immediate assessment of severity, detecting possible causes, and providing hemodynamic stability, followed by early endoscopy. Unusual UGIB causes must always be considered when establishing a diagnosis in the pediatric population because some of them are unique to children. Endoscopic techniques are of significant diagnostic value, and combined with medicaments, may be used for the management of acute bleeding. Finally, surgical treatment is reserved for the most severe bleeding.


Assuntos
Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas , Esofagite , Gastrite , Úlcera Péptica , Criança , Recém-Nascido , Adolescente , Animais , Bovinos , Feminino , Lactente , Humanos , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/diagnóstico , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/epidemiologia , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/etiologia , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/complicações , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/diagnóstico , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/epidemiologia , Úlcera Péptica/complicações , Úlcera Péptica/diagnóstico , Úlcera Péptica/terapia , Fatores Etários
15.
Transpl Int ; 35: 10753, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36338536

RESUMO

The risk of upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) after transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) in patients with high grade esophageal varices (EV) that are undergoing Orthotopic Liver transplantation (OLT) is poorly understood. This was a retrospective single-centre cohort study in all patients that underwent OLT at Queen Elizabeth Hospital Birmingham between September 2016 and September 2018. The primary outcome was to determine the incidence of UGIB in patients that have undergone OLT with EV that received TEE. 401 patients were included in the study, of which 320 (80%) received TEE. The incidence of post-operative UGIB in patients that received TEE was 1.6% (5/320) in the entire cohort: 2.7% (4/149) in patients with no evidence of EV and 0.6% (1/171) in patients with EV. UGIB occurred in 1 patient with grade 2 EV and did not occur in patients with grade 1 or 3 EV. The incidence of UGIB in patients that received TEE was not statistically different to patients that did not: 1.6% (5/320) vs. 3.7% (3/81) p = 0.218. In conclusion, in patients that underwent OLT, intra-operative TEE use was associated with low rates of UGIB, even in cohorts with high grade EV. This suggests that TEE is a relatively safe method of haemodynamic monitoring in patients undergoing OLT.


Assuntos
Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas , Transplante de Fígado , Humanos , Ecocardiografia Transesofagiana/efeitos adversos , Ecocardiografia Transesofagiana/métodos , Transplante de Fígado/efeitos adversos , Transplante de Fígado/métodos , Incidência , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estudos de Coortes , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/diagnóstico por imagem , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/epidemiologia , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/etiologia , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/diagnóstico por imagem , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/epidemiologia , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/etiologia
16.
Sultan Qaboos Univ Med J ; 22(4): 539-545, 2022 Nov.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36407709

RESUMO

Objectives: This study aimed to determine the association between Helicobacter pylori infection and variceal bleeding as well as rebleeding in cases of cirrhosis with portal hypertension. Methods: This prospective cohort study included patients with bleeding oesophageal varices and was conducted at the Department of Surgery, Jawaharlal Institute of Postgraduate Medical Education and Research, Pondicherry, India, from August 2016 to July 2018. Results: A total of 190 patients were assessed for eligibility, of which 159 patients were included in this study. Among the 159 patients, 124 (78.0%) had alcohol-related liver disease and eight had hepatitis B virus-related liver disease. Seven patients with varices had bled neither at presentation nor during the follow-up period. A total of 78 (49.1%) patients were H. pylori infected. The primary outcome, which was correlation between prevalence of H. pylori and the incidence of bleeding/rebleeding from varices as well as encephalopathy found that patients with oesophageal varices (adjusted risk [AR] = 0.714) and H. pylori infection (AR = 0.682) had a lower risk of variceal rebleeding. Among H. pylori-negative patients, pepsinogen I was higher in patients with rebleeding (30.7 versus 14.4 ng/mL; P <0.001). The secondary outcome, which was correlation of the site of bleeding with H. pylori infection and the association of the ratio of pepsinogen I/II with bleeding showed that among H. pylori-positive patients, the ratio of pepsinogen I/II was higher in patients with rebleeding (2.9 versus 1.3 ng/mL; P = 0.023). Conclusion: H. pylori infection was associated with a lower risk of rebleeding in cases of cirrhosis with portal hypertension. Irrespective of the status of the H. pylori infection, rebleeding was associated with increased levels of gastric acid output, as demonstrated by the level of pepsinogen.


Assuntos
Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas , Infecções por Helicobacter , Helicobacter pylori , Hipertensão Portal , Varizes , Humanos , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/complicações , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/epidemiologia , Infecções por Helicobacter/complicações , Infecções por Helicobacter/epidemiologia , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/epidemiologia , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/etiologia , Pepsinogênio A , Estudos Prospectivos , Hipertensão Portal/complicações , Hipertensão Portal/epidemiologia , Varizes/complicações , Cirrose Hepática/complicações
17.
Hepatol Commun ; 6(11): 3212-3222, 2022 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36073343

RESUMO

The natural history of compensated cirrhosis due to nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has not been completely characterized. The aim of the present study was to assess the incidence and risk factors of acute decompensation of cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and extrahepatic cancers. This was a multicenter, retrospective, cohort study including 449 patients with compensated cirrhosis due to NAFLD. We calculated cumulative incidences and used competitive risk analysis to determine the risk factors associated with decompensation and cancer development. Over a median of 39 months of follow-up, 124 patients (28%) presented acute decompensation. The most frequent decompensation was ascites (21%) followed by hepatic encephalopathy (15%), variceal bleeding (9%), and spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (3%). Acute-on-chronic liver failure was diagnosed in 6% of patients during follow-up. Liver function parameters and specifically an albumin level below 40 g/L were independently associated with an increased risk of decompensation. The presence of ischemic heart disease was independently associated with acute decompensation. Seventy-eight patients (18%) developed hepatocellular carcinoma or extrahepatic cancers during follow-up (51 and 27, respectively). Conclusion: Patients with compensated cirrhosis due to NAFLD are at high risk of severe liver complications, such as the development of acute decompensation, in a relative short follow-up time. This population is at high risk of hepatic and extrahepatic cancers.


Assuntos
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica , Humanos , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/epidemiologia , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/complicações , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estudos de Coortes , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/epidemiologia , Cirrose Hepática/complicações , Neoplasias Hepáticas/epidemiologia , Albuminas
18.
J Assoc Physicians India ; 70(6): 11-12, 2022 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35702844

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Chronic liver disease (CLD) represents different liver disorders of varying severity and etiology in which hepatic inflammation and fibrosis continue at least for 6 months. Portal hypertension is one of the important complications of CLD and its early recognition is of paramount importance. Though liver biopsy remains the gold standard for diagnosing liver fibrosis and upper gastrointestinal (GI) endoscopy plays an important role in diagnosing different findings of portal hypertension, various noninvasive methods like FibroScan are being increasingly used to diagnose liver fibrosis. AIMS AND OBJECTIVES: Study the FibroScan and endoscopic findings in patients of CLDs and the objectives are to find the prevalence of portal hypertension and to find various grades of esophageal varix and portal hypertensive gastropathy (PHG) and its relationship with liver fibrosis by FibroScan. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 114 patients of CLD and compensated cirrhosis having childturcotte- pugh (CTP) stages A and B were included in the study fulfilling inclusion and exclusion criteria, after calculating the sample size of 100. All the patients underwent detailed history, physical and gastrointestinal examination. Complete blood count (CBC), liver function test (LFT), kidney function test (KFT), viral markers were done. Aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to platelet ratio index (APRI) score was calculated, liver fibrosis was estimated by FibroScan and evidence of portal hypertension was documented by upper GI endoscopy. Cutoff value of FibroScan, APRI score, and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score for portal hypertension was decided by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. RESULTS: Alcoholic liver disease (ALD) was the most common cause (43%) of CLD closely followed by nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in 42% cases followed by chronic viral hepatitis, 75% patients had evidence of portal hypertension with PHG being the most common followed by esophageal varix. F4 fibrosis was found in 73% of cases followed by F3, F2, and F1 fibrosis. FibroScan value of 12.2 kPa was predictive of presence of portal hypertension and value of 26.6 mm predicted the presence of large esophageal varices.


Assuntos
Doença Hepática Terminal , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas , Hipertensão Portal , Aspartato Aminotransferases , Biomarcadores , Biópsia , Doença Hepática Terminal/complicações , Doença Hepática Terminal/patologia , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/diagnóstico , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/epidemiologia , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/etiologia , Fibrose , Hospitais de Ensino , Humanos , Hipertensão Portal/complicações , Fígado , Cirrose Hepática/complicações , Cirrose Hepática/diagnóstico , Índice de Gravidade de Doença
19.
JNMA J Nepal Med Assoc ; 60(248): 360-363, 2022 Apr 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35633214

RESUMO

Introduction: Upper gastrointestinal bleeding is a common medical emergency with significant morbidity and mortality. Its causes can be classified under variceal bleeding or non-variceal bleeding. Peptic ulcer and variceal bleeding are common causes. Thus, this study aims to find the prevalence of upper gastrointestinal bleeding among patients attending the Department of Emergency in a tertiary care centre. Methods: This was a descriptive cross-sectional study conducted on patients admitted to the Department of Emergency a tertiary care centre from September 2020 to August 2021 among 3375 patients. The ethical approval was obtained from the Institutional Review Committee of the hospital (Reference number: 328). Patients presenting with the clinical features of upper gastrointestinal bleeding in the form of hematemesis or melena were enrolled after written informed consent. Data entry was done in Statistical Packages for the Social Sciences version 20.0. for descriptive analysis. Point estimate at 95% Confidence Interval was calculated along with frequency and percentage for binary data. Results: Out of 3375 admissions in the Department of Emergency, 85 (2.52%) (1.99-3.05 at 95% Confidence Interval) patients presented with upper gastrointestinal bleeding. Conclusions: The prevalence of upper gastrointestinal bleeding is lower in comparison to other studies done in similar settings. Keywords: bleeding; emergency medicine; upper gastrointestinal tract; varices.


Assuntos
Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal , Estudos Transversais , Endoscopia Gastrointestinal , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/complicações , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/epidemiologia , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/epidemiologia , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/etiologia , Humanos , Centros de Atenção Terciária
20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35318192

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) placement is used to treat the sequelae of portal hypertension, including refractory variceal bleeding, ascites and hepatic hydrothorax. However, hernia-related complications such as incarceration and small bowel obstruction can occur after TIPS placement in patients with pre-existing hernias. The aim of this study was to determine the incidence of hernia complications in the first year after TIPS placement and to identify patient characteristics leading to an increased risk of these complications. DESIGN: This retrospective analysis included patients with pre-existing abdominal hernias who underwent primary TIPS placement with covered stents at our institution between 2004 and 2018. The 1-year hernia complication rate and the average time to complications were documented. Using a Wilcoxon rank-sum test, the characteristics of patients who developed hernia-related complications versus the characteristics of those without complications were compared. RESULTS: A total of 167 patients with pre-existing asymptomatic abdominal hernias were included in the analysis. The most common reason for TIPS placement was refractory ascites (80.6%). A total of 36 patients (21.6%) developed hernia-related complications after TIPS placement, including 20 patients with acute complications and 16 with non-acute complications. The mean time to presentation of hernia-related complications was 66 days. Patients who developed hernia-related complications were more likely than those without complications to have liver cirrhosis secondary to alcohol consumption (p=0.049), although this association was no longer significant after multivariate analysis. CONCLUSION: Within 1 year after TIPS placement, approximately 20% of patients with pre-existing hernias develop hernia-related complications, typically within the first 2 months after the procedure. Patients with pre-existing hernia undergoing TIPS placement should be educated regarding the signs and symptoms of hernia-related complications, including incarceration and small bowel obstruction.


Assuntos
Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas , Hérnia Ventral , Obstrução Intestinal , Derivação Portossistêmica Transjugular Intra-Hepática , Ascite/complicações , Ascite/epidemiologia , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/complicações , Varizes Esofágicas e Gástricas/epidemiologia , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/epidemiologia , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/etiologia , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/cirurgia , Hérnia Ventral/complicações , Humanos , Obstrução Intestinal/complicações , Derivação Portossistêmica Transjugular Intra-Hepática/efeitos adversos , Derivação Portossistêmica Transjugular Intra-Hepática/métodos , Estudos Retrospectivos
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